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Pennsylvania Geological Survey, Water Resources Investigations
Report 85-4331 |
"Low-Flow
Routing in the Lehigh and Delaware Rivers, Pennsylvania"
by H.N. Flippo, Jr.
Flow-routing
studies were made to evaluate the response of the Lehigh and Delaware
Rivers to low-flow augmentative releases from two reservoirs --Francis
E. Walter Reservoir and Beltzville Lake--in the Lehigh River basin.
Digital routing models that use diffusion-analogy methods to convolute
flows with system-response functions were developed to simulate
daily flows at selected sites. Model errors, for five sites and
for periods of 1 year or more, were mostly between 3 and 12 percent
in terms of absolute errors in daily flows and were mostly within
4 percent for flow volumes.
The developed models were satisfactory
for predicting hydrographic response at eight sites in the reach
from White Haven, Pennsylvania to Trenton, New Jersey. However,
abrupt changes in the flow rate of the Lehigh River at the Bethlehem
and the Glendon gaging stations could not be adequately replicated
with the model. The model tends to underestimate peaks by as much
as 30 percent and to overestimate some low flows of short duration
by as much as 20 percent. This occurs primarily because inflows
from ungaged areas could not be reliably modeled throughout their
ranges by use of flow records for gaged streams. The model will
underestimate long-duration low flows at the Glendon site for periods
when underflows at the gaging stations on Little Lehigh and Monocacy
Creeks are significant.
The models were used to route hypothetical
releases from Francis E. Walter Reservoir during a low-flow period.
The model for the Lehigh River indicated that an added release of
50 ft3/s (cubic feet per second) over a 64-day period during the
severe drought in the summer of 1965 would have increased minimum
flows for this period at Bethlehem and Glendon by approximately
the same amount. A hypothetical release of 200 ft3/s for the period
July 20-22, 1965, which is about eight times the actual release
in this period, would have been attenuated by about 25 percent when
it reached the Bethlehem gage. The synthesized hydrograph for the
Bethlehem gage showed such a release would have passed their by
July 27. Unresolvable timing errors in the models created an unrealistic
hydrographic response for this release at the Trenton gage; but,
such a release probably would have passed Trenton by July 29.
In order to time the movement of
a release wave more accurately than could be done with the developed
model, travel times for the wave of an augmentative low-flow release
were obtained by field observations and comparisons of gage-height
records. The observed leading edge of an abrupt release of 153 ft3/s
from Francis E. Walter Reservoir, which ended a 2-day release at
a rate of 48 ft3/s, arrived at the gage below the reservoir in 0.5
hour, at White Haven in 3.7 hours, at the mouth of Pohopoco Creek
in about 23.1 hours, at Walnutport in 27 hours, at Bethlehem in
39 hours, and at Glendon in 42 hours.
This release could not be detected
in the record for the Trenton gage. Travel time for an augmentative
release in the Lehigh River is dependent upon the pre-release discharge,
the relative magnitude of the release, and antecedent rainfall.
Relationships are provided for estimating the time of arrival at
Walnutport, Bethlehem, and Glendon of the leading edge of waves
generated by augmentative releases of 75 to 600 ft3/s. Stage observations
on Pohopoco Creek indicated a 2.1-hour travel time between Beltzville
Lake and the Lehigh River for the elading edge of a wave produced
by a typical augmentative release from this reservoir. |

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